New York Mets vs Seattle Mariners Prediction MLB Picks 8/11/24 (2024)

Seattle Mariners (61-56) vs New York Mets (61-55)

Game Info: Sunday, August 11, 2024 at 7:10 pm (T-Mobile Park)

Luis Castillo (9-11) (3.54) vs Luis Severino (7-5) (4.27)

Betting Odds: Seattle Mariners -116 / New York Mets -101 --- Over/Under: 7 Click Here for the Latest Odds

The New York Mets and Seattle Mariners meet Sunday in MLB game 3 action at T-Mobile Park. Here’s a New York Mets vs Seattle Mariners Prediction. This article will include a New York Mets vs Seattle Mariners Pick.

New York Mets Betting Preview

The New York Mets are 61-56 on the year and play the Athletics and Marlins next. The New York Mets have scored 9 runs in their last 3 games and 4 or more runs in 5 of their last 9 games. The New York Mets have won 8 of their last 9 games when scoring 4 or more runs. Francisco Lindor leads the New York Mets with 121 hits and 67 RBI, while Pete Alonso and Brandon Nimmo have combined for 204 hits and 129 RBI.

Seattle Mariners Betting Preview

The Seattle Mariners are 62-56 on the year and play the Tigers and Pirates next. The Seattle Mariners have scored 14 runs in their last 3 games and 4 or more runs in 5 of their last 8 games. The Seattle Mariners have won 6 straight games when scoring 4 or more runs. Julio Rodriguez leads the Seattle Mariners with 101 hits and 37 RBI, while Cal Raleigh and Josh Rojas have combined for 158 hits and 94 RBI.

New York Mets vs Seattle Mariners Pitching Pick Matchup

Luis Severino gets the ball for the New York Mets, and he is 7-5 with a 4.06 ERA and 101 strikeouts this season. Severino has allowed 14 hits and 10 earned runs in his last 8 innings. Severino has a 4.65 ERA and .240 allowed batting average in 60 road innings. Severino is 2-1 with a 3.44 ERA and 13 strikeouts in his career against the Seattle Mariners.

Luis Castillo gets the ball for the Seattle Mariners, and he is 9-11 with a 3.48 ERA and 139 strikeouts this season. Castillo has allowed 14 hits and 6 runs in his last 12 innings. Castillo has a 2.95 ERA and .236 allowed batting average in 79.1 home innings. Castillo is 1-1 with a 4.44 ERA and 23 strikeouts in his career against the New York Mets.

Why the Seattle Mariners will Beat the Mets

  • The Mets have lost each of their last six day games against American League opponents.
  • The Mariners have won six of their last seven games against National League opponents.
  • The Mets have failed to cover the run line in nine of their last 10 day games against American League opponents.
  • The favorites have covered the run line in each of the Mets' last four games.

Seattle Mariners Player Prop Facts

  • Luke Raley has hit a home run in three of his last four appearances with the Mariners as home favorites.
  • Luke Raley has recorded at least one RBI in each of his last four appearances with the Mariners as home favorites.
  • Luis Castillo has recorded a win in three of his four previous appearances in day games against NL teams that held a winning record.
  • Victor Robles has scored a run in each of his last four appearances against the Mets after playing the previous day.
  • Luke Raley has recorded two or more total bases in each of his last four appearances with the Mariners as home favorites.
  • Randy Arozarena has recorded at least one hit in 11 of his last 12 appearances with his team as a favorite against NL East opponents.
  • J.P. Crawford has recorded a Single in eight of his last nine appearances in day games against teams that held a winning record.

New York Mets Player Prop Facts

  • Pete Alonso has hit at least one home run in three of the Mets' last five day games against AL opponents that held a winning record.
  • Francisco Lindor has recorded at least one Single in each of the Mets' last six games against AL opponents.
  • J.D. Martinez has recorded at least one hit in each of his last nine appearances with his team as a road underdog against the Mariners.
  • J.D. Martinez has recorded at least one total base in each of his last nine appearances with his team as a road underdog against the Mariners.
  • Starling Marte has scored at least one run in four of his last five appearances with the Mets as road underdogs.
  • Starling Marte has recorded at least one RBI in three of his last four appearances with the Mets as road underdogs against AL West opponents.
  • Tyrone Taylor has recorded a Double in three of his last four appearances after playing the previous day.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Seattle Mariners rank 30th in the league for strikeouts against this season (1205).
  • The Seattle Mariners rank 1st in the league for ERA this season (3.44).
  • The New York Mets rank T28th in the league for triples this season (11).
  • The New York Mets rank 3rd in the league for opponent batting average this season (.232).

New York Mets vs Seattle Mariners Prediction

The New York Mets have been the better team over the last week or so, but they've also been shutout in back to back games, and that's not all that encouraging. And as decent as Luis Severino has been, he's been up and down at times as well. Luis Castillo has been the sharper pitcher, and he's been at his best at home, where he's allowing just under a 3 ERA. Near pick em prices, I have to side with the Mariners at home with the more consistent pitcher.

Randy’s Pick Seattle Mariners -116

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

AUTHOR: Randy Chambers

New York Mets vs Seattle Mariners Prediction MLB Picks 8/11/24 (1)

Randy has covered sports betting for over a decade, well before it was cool to do so.
Follow Randy Chambers on Twitter @WizardOf0dds

New York Mets vs Seattle Mariners Prediction MLB Picks 8/11/24 (2024)

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